Three Keys to Successful Trading
August 24, 2007
By Chris Morse
A Good Trading Approach/System
A good trading system is a paramount prerequisite to having a
successful trading outcome. There are several components to a
quality trading system. First one must find a robust trading strategy.
A robust strategy is a system that can follow multiple markets
and market sectors such as (fuels, currencies, grains, bonds,
meats and metals) with the exact same inputs. In other words the
strategy that would trade gold is exactly the same as the strategy
for trading crude oil, Euro currency and all other markets.
To trade a system with different inputs or strategies per market
would be curve-fitting. A good strategy should not need to be
tweaked or adjusted. If a strategy requires change, then it is
obviously not a very successful trading strategy. Be leery of
any system that needs to be changed on a constant basis.
Next a good system/strategy needs to have a way to measure its
performance. In order to measure performance of a system a sample
of data needs to be quite large. A system that can be tested ten
or twenty years back with consistency is going to have a much
better chance for success. Whereas, a system that can only be
tested on just one or five years of data will have a much lower
probability for success.
Finally clear and concise entry and exit points need to be shown
for each trade. Successful systems should show you the exact price
and time to enter and exit a market. A system that requires discretion
from an inexperienced or novice trader is very unlikely to perform
as well as a system the shows precise trading signals.
Sufficient Trading Capital
Rule #1 - Don't run out of money.
Rule #2 - See Rule #1.
It is of the utmost importance to be properly capitalized.
To attempt to trade with insufficient capital can be a direct
path to trading destruction. If you do not have the money to weather
the ups and downs in the market you will probably lose.
It is important to understand what type of run up and draw down
to expect in order to know how much money you need to trade. If
you have realistic expectations and understanding of a trading
system you will have an idea of the monies required.
Good trading systems will follow many markets simultaneously and
can require $25,000 to $100,000 or more to trade successfully.
Beware of a system that claims you can trade but a few markets
and be successful. Do not trade unless you have sufficient risk
capital. Keep your money until you possess the required account
size.
Discipline
In addition to having both a good trading strategy and being adequately
capitalized to trade you must have the discipline to follow your
system in good times and bad. A lot of new or inexperienced traders
will cherry pick trades. They watch a variety of markets and pick
and choose what may or may not be a good trade. Even worse a trader
will see a winning trade and want to take those profits off the
table too soon or even worse take a losing trade and let it go
only hoping it will come back to break even. Let your winners
run and cut your losses. This is where an automated trading system
such as Trend Simplicity can be of great help in assisting you
to set an exact entry and exit point.
It is of great importance to not get shaken out of a market when
you are in a draw down. I have seen many traders that have had
a good trading system and were well funded still loss due to lack
of trading discipline. You have to have the discipline and staying
power when in a draw down. What happens is a trader will start
trading a system after they watch it go up and make a lot of money.
The problem is that all modes of trading will pull back after
going up. Many will second guess their trading and pull out of
the markets after seeing draw down. Even worse they will continue
to watch the trading system only to see it recover and profit
what could have been theirs. Next the trader will reenter the
market after watching the system recover. Guess what happens next?
The system goes though another draw down and the trader is either
too financially or emotionally shaken up to trade again.
At Trade Think we do our best to explain the importance of trade
discipline. We even have brokers that can auto-trade our systems
for our clients and hopefully take some of the emotion out of
their trading.
Summation
As you can read from above there are three keys to successful
trading. You need a robust system, enough money to trade with
and discipline. If any of the three keys are missing you can see
how it will be a challenge to trade successfully.
About the Author
Chris Morse is the Developer of the TradeThink
trading system. He has been involved in the development of trading
strategies for nearly ten years. Mr. Morse developed a very robust
system which is now in private use at one of the largest FCM's
and has earned sizable returns for the last 3 years. Mr. Morse
now focuses his time exclusively on developing and managing his
systems.
Futures trading is not suitable for everyone and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results